Poll Predicts Kamala Harris Election Win Despite Trump Leading Swing States

Kamala Harris could win the November election despite Donald Trump’s lead across a number of swing states, according to a new poll.
The survey was conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies with The Telegraph, and looked at voting intentions of American citizens across seven swing states.
According to the poll, Trump would win four of the swing states giving Harris the other three, but she would still be able to win the election.
The four states Trump is predicted to win, according to the poll, are Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, while Harris appears set to gain Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
The researchers found that Harris had gained on Trump by two points in North Carolina following the Democratic National Convention in August, leaving Harris only one point behind.
The vice president also nudged closer to the former president in the poll in Arizona, again trailing him by only one point.
But even if the swing states vote as the poll suggests, the data indicates Harris could still win the election if the other 43 states vote as they did in 2020, when Donald Trump and Joe Biden carried 25 states each, but Biden won the election with 306 delegates to Trump’s 232.
The Telegraph highlighted that Harris could have a similar route to victory as the one taken by Biden in 2020, where the midwestern Rust Belt states provided a crucial boost.
Such an outcome would give Harris the 270 delegates she needs to win the election.
However, not all polls show Harris as winning the three swing states she’d need.
According to a poll from Trafalgar over August 31, Trump appeared set to win Pennsylvania with 47 percent of the vote to Harris’ 44.9 percent. It also found that he had widened his lead in the state, had widened his lead in the state — on August 10, he was ahead of Harris by 45.9 percent to 44.4 percent.
The same poll also showed Trump was ahead of Harris in Wisconsin and Michigan.
According to Nake Silver’s forecast model, Trump has a 55.8 percent chance of winning of the election based on predictions as of Tuesday, although the polling platform believes it will be a “very close race.”
According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average calculations, Harris is leading by 3.1 points, with 47.1 percent to Trump’s 43.9 percent.
Trump’s spokesperson Steven Cheung told Newsweek, “Polling shows President Trump is dominating both nationally and in the battleground states because voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not the weak, failed, and dangerously liberal policies of Comrade Kamala.”
Newsweek has contacted Harris’ campaign for comment.
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